AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study

AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study

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CASE STUDY INSTRUCTIONS

DEMAND/CAPACITY ANALYSIS & SITE SELECTION STUDY DEER VALLEY AIRPORT (DVT)

INSTRUCTIONS

This paper is mandatory meaning a final course grade of F will be received for this course if it is

not submitted. Conduct a capacity and site selection study at Deer Valley Airport, Phoenix,

Arizona. You should do the following:

1. Describe the historical aviation activity at the airport. 2. Develop a forecast of total annual demand for the airport using a trend analysis. You

may use Microsoft Excel or other statistical software. 3. Determine hourly capacity, hourly delay and annual service volume for Deer Valley

Airport using the short-term planning methodology and FAA Figures provided in FAA

Advisory Circular AC 150/5060-5, Airport Capacity and Delay. This methodology is also

provided in Chapter 5 of the Aviation Planning textbook.

4. Select a suitable alternative site for Deer Valley Airport that could the same population

as the existing airport.

5. Document your findings in a written paper.

6. Your documentation should be in the form of a written paper that includes the following sections:

 

1. HISTORICAL AVIATION ACTIVITY

This section should describe the types and levels of aviation activity at the airport over the past 20 years. It should include tables and figures as appropriate. The tabulated data should include the number of based aircraft, the number of annual airport operations and the split between air carrier, air taxi, general aviation and military operations as applicable. As a minimum, 20 years of historical data should be provided. Sources of data include: FAA ATADS at http://aspm.faa.gov/opsnet/sys/Main.asp?force=atads. You may use the information presented in your paper on the airport’s existing conditions.

 

2. ANNUAL OPERATIONS, ADPM, PEAK HOUR FORECASTS

This section should include a forecast of total annual operations for Deer Valley Airport for the years 2015 through to 2025 using a trend analysis. Your trend analysis should be based on the 20 years of data. In addition, develop forecast for the Average Day Peak Month and Peak Hour operation in the years 2020 and 2025. In the Year 2020 the peak month will be March and is 9.5 percent of annual operations. In addition, peak hour operations are 6 percent of operations during the average day of the peak month. In the Year 2025 the peak month will also be March and is 9.3 percent of annual operations and peak hour operations are 5.5 percent of operations during the average day of the peak month.

 

 

 

AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study

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3. HOURLY CAPACITY

This section should report on the determination of hourly capacity for the airport for the years 2020 and 2025. The Airport will close Runway 7R-25L, below, in the Year 2025 for reconstruction. Explain why there are differences in hourly capacity between the five runway-use configurations. To complete this section you will need to determine the separation between the runways and the available runway exit locations measured as distance from threshold in google earth. .

The runway-use configurations and the percent of the time they are used are shown in the tables below for the future Years 2020 and 2025. The arrows pointing towards a runway end indicate arrivals on that threshold and those pointing away from a runway indicate the direction of departures from the runway.

 

Future Conditions – Year 2020

NO. Runway Use Configurations Percent Use VFR Conditions

Percent Use IFR Conditions

1

80% 2%

2

10% 2%

3

5% 1%

 

 

 

AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study

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Future Conditions – Year 2025

NO. Runway Use Configurations Percent Use VFR Conditions

Percent Use IFR Conditions

4

85% 2.5%

5

10% 2.5%

 

The following additional information is given to complete your hourly capacity

calculations:

 

Hourly Demand

The hourly demand for the Years 2020 and 2025 is presented below.

Hourly Demand – Year 2020

Aircraft Class Number of Aircraft Operations

VFR IFR

A 50 15

B 20 15

C 10 10

D 0 0

 

Hourly Demand – Year 2025

Aircraft Class Number of Aircraft Operations

VFR IFR

A 52 15

B 23 15

C 15 15

D 0 0

Percent Arrivals

The percentage of arrivals for the Year 2020 is 60 percent during VFR conditions and 40 percent during IFR conditions. It is anticipated that these percentages will remain the same during the year 2025.

 

 

 

AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study

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Touch and Go Operations

The table below presents the number of touch and go operations during the hour for the years under consideration.

 

Touch and Go Operations

Year Number of Touch & Go Operations

VFR IFR

2020 11 0

2025 13 0

 

4. HOURLY DELAY

This section should report on the determination of hourly delay for the airport for the years 2020 and 2025. Calculate hourly delay in VFR conditions for the Year 2020 and 2025 for runway use configurations No. 1 and No. 4. Explain why there are differences in the delay calculated for these two years. The following information is required to complete your delay calculations.

Peak Fifteen Minute Demand

The table below presents the peak 15-minute demand during the busy hour for the years under consideration.

 

15-Minute Peak Demand

Year Peak 15 Minute Demand

VFR IFR

2020 25 15

2025 35 20

 

5. ANNUAL SERVICE VOLUME

This section should report on the determination of Annual Service Volume using the methodology for short-term planning. Explain how these ASVs compare to demand at the airport. Plot a graph (with multiple lines) that charts ASV, 60 percent of ASV, and Annual Demand for the years 2020 and 2025. Analyze the graph and report your findings. As part of your discussion answer the following question: What is the potential impact of the runway closure in the Year 2025?

 

 

 

AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study

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6. SITE SELECTION STUDY

This section should identify a suitable alternative site Deer Valley Airport. The area of the

alternative site should be able to accommodate all of the existing facilities at the current

airport and provide space for growth. You may use image from google maps or google

earth in your site selection. At least three alternative sites should be identified and

evaluated. The following should be considered:

1. Convenience to population, including proximity to highways, railroads or other

modes of surface transportation

2. Airspace

3. Surrounding obstructions

4. Availability for expansion

5. Availability of utilities

6. Meteorological conditions

7. Environmental and Noise impacts

 

7. RECOMMENDATIONS

This section should state your recommendations for Deer Valley Airport. These

recommendations should be based on your demand/capacity analyses and site selection

study. Identify any further infrastructure development that is required both on and off-airport

to support the future airport operations.

Report Requirements A good way of getting your paper done on time is to start early. The following requirements must be met:

1. Report figures tables should be appropriately titled and sourced. 2. Worksheets and supporting calculations should be place in an appendix. Blank

worksheets have been provided for you. 3. Setup the page with 1-inch margins all around. 4. Font: Arial 5. Font Size: 11 6. Line spacing: Single 7. Provide appropriate Headings with section numbers, in bold. 8. Use Headers and Footers.

o Name and title of paper in Header. o Page numbers centered in the Footer.

9. Text should be fully justified. 10. Include a list of your references, also separate from the number of pages of content, at

the end of the paper. 11. Create a cover for your report that includes the following:

o Title o Prepared for: Course Name and Section o Prepared by: Your name o Date

 

 

 

AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study

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Failure to meet these project report requirements will affect your grade. The report will be graded with respect to content, format and grammar. Please refer to the grading outline on the last page of this outline. Sample Table and Figure Your tables and figures should be numbered, titled and sourced as shown in the following examples.

 

TABLE 1.1

HISTORICAL POPULATION

 

Year USA 1 Texas 1 Webb County 2 Laredo 2

1989 246,819,222 16,806,729 129,943 129,943

1990 249,464,396 17,044,714 134,517 134,517

1991 252,153,092 17,339,904 140,492 140,492

1992 255,029,699 17,650,479 147,823 147,823

1993 257,782,608 17,996,764 155,742 155,747

1994 260,327,021 18,338,319 162,834 162,834

1995 262,803,276 18,679,706 169,715 169,715

1996 265,228,572 19,006,240 174,365 174,365

1997 267,783,607 19,355,427 180,370 180,370

1998 270,248,003 19,712,389 186,798 186,798

1999 272,690,813 20,044,141 194,087 189,958

2000 281,421,906 20,851,820 200,600 193,117

Source: 1U.S. Bureau of Census. 2Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University, 2002.

 

 

AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study

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FIGURE 1.1

AIRPORT DIAGRAM

Source: www.airnav.com, FAA Airport Diagram

 

 

AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study

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Planning/ Technical Report Writing

1. Write in concise clear sentences. Check your spelling and grammar and read your sentences out loud to ensure they make sense.

2. Cite your sources within your text. For example: “According to the Bureau of Economic

Analysis (BEA), the population of Brevard County will grow at a rate of 1.5 percent over the next ten years.”

3. Do not use abbreviations within the main body of the document. For example, the symbol for feet or the abbreviation ft. should not be used. Write out the word feet. Similarly, symbols such as % should be written out in full as percent. Symbols in Tables are acceptable if there insufficient space for the full text.

4. You may use acronyms in the main body of the report. However, they should be fully defined the first time they are used. Do not assume the reader knows what they stand for. For instance: Medium-Intensity Approach Lighting System with Runway Alignment Indicator Lights (MALSR). After defining the acronym it may be then used in subsequent text.

5. When using single digit numbers in the main body of the text write out the number and place the number itself in brackets. For example: “In 2010, the airport had three (3) active FBOs. If your sentence starts with a number, write out the number regardless of the number of digits.

6. Read other planning study reports to see how information is written out or expressed.

 

 

AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study

PROF. ULREEN JONES

AVM 3201 AVIATION PLANNING COLLEGE OF AERONAUTICS, MARCH 2013

CAPACITY WORKSHEET – SHORT-RANGE PLANNING

 

 

 

 

DEMAND

 

 

RUNWAY-USE

 

CAPACITY FIGURE

NO.

 

 

AIRCRAFT MIX

 

 

MIX

INDEX

%(C+3D)

 

 

 

ARRIVALS

%

 

 

TOUCH

AND GO

%

 

 

RUNWAY EXITS

HOURLY

CAPACITY

BASE

C*

 

T & G

FACTOR

T

 

EXIT

FACTOR

E

 

HOURLY

CAPACITY

C x T x E DIAGRAM NO. VFR IFR %A %B %C %D LOCATION NO.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study

PROF. ULREEN JONES

AVM 3201 AVIATION PLANNING COLLEGE OF AERONAUTICS, MARCH 2013

 

DELAY WORKSHEET – SHORT RANGE PLANNING

RWY-USE CONFIGURATION DELAY FIG. NO.

CAPACITY

DEMAND

D/C

RATIO

PERCENT

ARRIVALS

MIX

INDEX

Arrival Delay Depart. Delay Demand

Profile

Factor

DDF

AVER. DELAY

(MINUTES) HOURLY

DELAY

(MINUTES) SKETCH NO. VFR IFR HOURLY 15 MIN. Index

ADI

Factor

ADF

Index

DDI

Factor

DDF ARR. DEP.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study

PROF. ULREEN JONES

AVM 3201 AVIATION PLANNING COLLEGE OF AERONAUTICS, MARCH 2013

ASV WORKSHEET – SHORT RANGE PLANNING

OPERATING CONDITION

MIX

INDEX

PERCENT

OF YEAR

(P)

HOURLY

CAPACITY

(C)

PERCENT

MAXIMUM

CAPACITY

WEIGHTING

FACTOR

(W)

NO. WEATHER RWY-USE DIAGRAM

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study

PROF. ULREEN JONES

AVM 3201 AVIATION PLANNING COLLEGE OF AERONAUTICS, MARCH 2013

GRADING RUBRIC

MAXIMUM POINTS

Grammar

 

Report is clear and eloquent and proper grammar and spelling is used.

10

Content

 

Annual, ADPM and Peak Hour Forecasts

10

Hourly Capacity

10

Hourly Delay

10

 

Annual Service Volume

10

Site Selection Study

20

Supporting Worksheets and Calculations

20

Format

 

All Worksheets placed in an appendix

2

Page Margins: 1 inch all around Font: Arial Font Size: 11 Line spacing: Single Text: Fully justified. Use Headers and Footers.

o Name and title of paper in Header. o Page numbers centered in the Footer.

2

Headings with section numbers

2

References

2

Report Cover

2