AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study
AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study
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CASE STUDY INSTRUCTIONS
DEMAND/CAPACITY ANALYSIS & SITE SELECTION STUDY DEER VALLEY AIRPORT (DVT)
INSTRUCTIONS
This paper is mandatory meaning a final course grade of F will be received for this course if it is
not submitted. Conduct a capacity and site selection study at Deer Valley Airport, Phoenix,
Arizona. You should do the following:
1. Describe the historical aviation activity at the airport. 2. Develop a forecast of total annual demand for the airport using a trend analysis. You
may use Microsoft Excel or other statistical software. 3. Determine hourly capacity, hourly delay and annual service volume for Deer Valley
Airport using the short-term planning methodology and FAA Figures provided in FAA
Advisory Circular AC 150/5060-5, Airport Capacity and Delay. This methodology is also
provided in Chapter 5 of the Aviation Planning textbook.
4. Select a suitable alternative site for Deer Valley Airport that could the same population
as the existing airport.
5. Document your findings in a written paper.
6. Your documentation should be in the form of a written paper that includes the following sections:
1. HISTORICAL AVIATION ACTIVITY
This section should describe the types and levels of aviation activity at the airport over the past 20 years. It should include tables and figures as appropriate. The tabulated data should include the number of based aircraft, the number of annual airport operations and the split between air carrier, air taxi, general aviation and military operations as applicable. As a minimum, 20 years of historical data should be provided. Sources of data include: FAA ATADS at http://aspm.faa.gov/opsnet/sys/Main.asp?force=atads. You may use the information presented in your paper on the airport’s existing conditions.
2. ANNUAL OPERATIONS, ADPM, PEAK HOUR FORECASTS
This section should include a forecast of total annual operations for Deer Valley Airport for the years 2015 through to 2025 using a trend analysis. Your trend analysis should be based on the 20 years of data. In addition, develop forecast for the Average Day Peak Month and Peak Hour operation in the years 2020 and 2025. In the Year 2020 the peak month will be March and is 9.5 percent of annual operations. In addition, peak hour operations are 6 percent of operations during the average day of the peak month. In the Year 2025 the peak month will also be March and is 9.3 percent of annual operations and peak hour operations are 5.5 percent of operations during the average day of the peak month.
AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study
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3. HOURLY CAPACITY
This section should report on the determination of hourly capacity for the airport for the years 2020 and 2025. The Airport will close Runway 7R-25L, below, in the Year 2025 for reconstruction. Explain why there are differences in hourly capacity between the five runway-use configurations. To complete this section you will need to determine the separation between the runways and the available runway exit locations measured as distance from threshold in google earth. .
The runway-use configurations and the percent of the time they are used are shown in the tables below for the future Years 2020 and 2025. The arrows pointing towards a runway end indicate arrivals on that threshold and those pointing away from a runway indicate the direction of departures from the runway.
Future Conditions – Year 2020
NO. Runway Use Configurations Percent Use VFR Conditions
Percent Use IFR Conditions
1
80% 2%
2
10% 2%
3
5% 1%
AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study
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Future Conditions – Year 2025
NO. Runway Use Configurations Percent Use VFR Conditions
Percent Use IFR Conditions
4
85% 2.5%
5
10% 2.5%
The following additional information is given to complete your hourly capacity
calculations:
Hourly Demand
The hourly demand for the Years 2020 and 2025 is presented below.
Hourly Demand – Year 2020
Aircraft Class Number of Aircraft Operations
VFR IFR
A 50 15
B 20 15
C 10 10
D 0 0
Hourly Demand – Year 2025
Aircraft Class Number of Aircraft Operations
VFR IFR
A 52 15
B 23 15
C 15 15
D 0 0
Percent Arrivals
The percentage of arrivals for the Year 2020 is 60 percent during VFR conditions and 40 percent during IFR conditions. It is anticipated that these percentages will remain the same during the year 2025.
AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study
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Touch and Go Operations
The table below presents the number of touch and go operations during the hour for the years under consideration.
Touch and Go Operations
Year Number of Touch & Go Operations
VFR IFR
2020 11 0
2025 13 0
4. HOURLY DELAY
This section should report on the determination of hourly delay for the airport for the years 2020 and 2025. Calculate hourly delay in VFR conditions for the Year 2020 and 2025 for runway use configurations No. 1 and No. 4. Explain why there are differences in the delay calculated for these two years. The following information is required to complete your delay calculations.
Peak Fifteen Minute Demand
The table below presents the peak 15-minute demand during the busy hour for the years under consideration.
15-Minute Peak Demand
Year Peak 15 Minute Demand
VFR IFR
2020 25 15
2025 35 20
5. ANNUAL SERVICE VOLUME
This section should report on the determination of Annual Service Volume using the methodology for short-term planning. Explain how these ASVs compare to demand at the airport. Plot a graph (with multiple lines) that charts ASV, 60 percent of ASV, and Annual Demand for the years 2020 and 2025. Analyze the graph and report your findings. As part of your discussion answer the following question: What is the potential impact of the runway closure in the Year 2025?
AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study
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6. SITE SELECTION STUDY
This section should identify a suitable alternative site Deer Valley Airport. The area of the
alternative site should be able to accommodate all of the existing facilities at the current
airport and provide space for growth. You may use image from google maps or google
earth in your site selection. At least three alternative sites should be identified and
evaluated. The following should be considered:
1. Convenience to population, including proximity to highways, railroads or other
modes of surface transportation
2. Airspace
3. Surrounding obstructions
4. Availability for expansion
5. Availability of utilities
6. Meteorological conditions
7. Environmental and Noise impacts
7. RECOMMENDATIONS
This section should state your recommendations for Deer Valley Airport. These
recommendations should be based on your demand/capacity analyses and site selection
study. Identify any further infrastructure development that is required both on and off-airport
to support the future airport operations.
Report Requirements A good way of getting your paper done on time is to start early. The following requirements must be met:
1. Report figures tables should be appropriately titled and sourced. 2. Worksheets and supporting calculations should be place in an appendix. Blank
worksheets have been provided for you. 3. Setup the page with 1-inch margins all around. 4. Font: Arial 5. Font Size: 11 6. Line spacing: Single 7. Provide appropriate Headings with section numbers, in bold. 8. Use Headers and Footers.
o Name and title of paper in Header. o Page numbers centered in the Footer.
9. Text should be fully justified. 10. Include a list of your references, also separate from the number of pages of content, at
the end of the paper. 11. Create a cover for your report that includes the following:
o Title o Prepared for: Course Name and Section o Prepared by: Your name o Date
AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study
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Failure to meet these project report requirements will affect your grade. The report will be graded with respect to content, format and grammar. Please refer to the grading outline on the last page of this outline. Sample Table and Figure Your tables and figures should be numbered, titled and sourced as shown in the following examples.
TABLE 1.1
HISTORICAL POPULATION
Year USA 1 Texas 1 Webb County 2 Laredo 2
1989 246,819,222 16,806,729 129,943 129,943
1990 249,464,396 17,044,714 134,517 134,517
1991 252,153,092 17,339,904 140,492 140,492
1992 255,029,699 17,650,479 147,823 147,823
1993 257,782,608 17,996,764 155,742 155,747
1994 260,327,021 18,338,319 162,834 162,834
1995 262,803,276 18,679,706 169,715 169,715
1996 265,228,572 19,006,240 174,365 174,365
1997 267,783,607 19,355,427 180,370 180,370
1998 270,248,003 19,712,389 186,798 186,798
1999 272,690,813 20,044,141 194,087 189,958
2000 281,421,906 20,851,820 200,600 193,117
Source: 1U.S. Bureau of Census. 2Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University, 2002.
AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study
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FIGURE 1.1
AIRPORT DIAGRAM
Source: www.airnav.com, FAA Airport Diagram
AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study
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Planning/ Technical Report Writing
1. Write in concise clear sentences. Check your spelling and grammar and read your sentences out loud to ensure they make sense.
2. Cite your sources within your text. For example: “According to the Bureau of Economic
Analysis (BEA), the population of Brevard County will grow at a rate of 1.5 percent over the next ten years.”
3. Do not use abbreviations within the main body of the document. For example, the symbol for feet or the abbreviation ft. should not be used. Write out the word feet. Similarly, symbols such as % should be written out in full as percent. Symbols in Tables are acceptable if there insufficient space for the full text.
4. You may use acronyms in the main body of the report. However, they should be fully defined the first time they are used. Do not assume the reader knows what they stand for. For instance: Medium-Intensity Approach Lighting System with Runway Alignment Indicator Lights (MALSR). After defining the acronym it may be then used in subsequent text.
5. When using single digit numbers in the main body of the text write out the number and place the number itself in brackets. For example: “In 2010, the airport had three (3) active FBOs. If your sentence starts with a number, write out the number regardless of the number of digits.
6. Read other planning study reports to see how information is written out or expressed.
AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study
PROF. ULREEN JONES
AVM 3201 AVIATION PLANNING COLLEGE OF AERONAUTICS, MARCH 2013
CAPACITY WORKSHEET – SHORT-RANGE PLANNING
DEMAND
RUNWAY-USE
CAPACITY FIGURE
NO.
AIRCRAFT MIX
MIX
INDEX
%(C+3D)
ARRIVALS
%
TOUCH
AND GO
%
RUNWAY EXITS
HOURLY
CAPACITY
BASE
C*
T & G
FACTOR
T
EXIT
FACTOR
E
HOURLY
CAPACITY
C x T x E DIAGRAM NO. VFR IFR %A %B %C %D LOCATION NO.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study
PROF. ULREEN JONES
AVM 3201 AVIATION PLANNING COLLEGE OF AERONAUTICS, MARCH 2013
DELAY WORKSHEET – SHORT RANGE PLANNING
RWY-USE CONFIGURATION DELAY FIG. NO.
CAPACITY
DEMAND
D/C
RATIO
PERCENT
ARRIVALS
MIX
INDEX
Arrival Delay Depart. Delay Demand
Profile
Factor
DDF
AVER. DELAY
(MINUTES) HOURLY
DELAY
(MINUTES) SKETCH NO. VFR IFR HOURLY 15 MIN. Index
ADI
Factor
ADF
Index
DDI
Factor
DDF ARR. DEP.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study
PROF. ULREEN JONES
AVM 3201 AVIATION PLANNING COLLEGE OF AERONAUTICS, MARCH 2013
ASV WORKSHEET – SHORT RANGE PLANNING
OPERATING CONDITION
MIX
INDEX
PERCENT
OF YEAR
(P)
HOURLY
CAPACITY
(C)
PERCENT
MAXIMUM
CAPACITY
WEIGHTING
FACTOR
(W)
NO. WEATHER RWY-USE DIAGRAM
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
AVM 3201 – Aviation Planning Case Study Deer Valley Airport – Demand/Capacity Analysis, & Site Selection Study
PROF. ULREEN JONES
AVM 3201 AVIATION PLANNING COLLEGE OF AERONAUTICS, MARCH 2013
GRADING RUBRIC
MAXIMUM POINTS
Grammar
Report is clear and eloquent and proper grammar and spelling is used.
10
Content
Annual, ADPM and Peak Hour Forecasts
10
Hourly Capacity
10
Hourly Delay
10
Annual Service Volume
10
Site Selection Study
20
Supporting Worksheets and Calculations
20
Format
All Worksheets placed in an appendix
2
Page Margins: 1 inch all around Font: Arial Font Size: 11 Line spacing: Single Text: Fully justified. Use Headers and Footers.
o Name and title of paper in Header. o Page numbers centered in the Footer.
2
Headings with section numbers
2
References
2
Report Cover
2